
Volume
$59K
Txns
712
Traders
155
Fees
$1
Ends
Jun 10, 2026
A data leak on March 26, 2026, exposed Anthropic's unreleased "Claude Mythos" model, described as their most capable yet with significant advances in coding, reasoning, and cybersecurity, which the company has confirmed is now in early access testing. You can read more about that here: https://fortune.com/2026/03/26/anthropic-says-testing-mythos-powerful-new-ai-model-after-data-leak-reveals-its-existence-step-change-in-capabilities/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases "Claude Mythos" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 100%$189Kvolume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Yes 61%$332Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.21Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?
No 100%$74.9Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 100%$120Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Yes 100%$117Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | 0xC91b7D9F4463C9985f562149 | No / 0.1¢ | -630.87 | $0.63 | |
| 2d | twguwje | No / 0.1¢ | -4,885.23 | $4.89 | |
| 2d | 0xC91b7D9F4463C9985f562149 | No / 0.1¢ | -1,630.86 | $1.63 | |
| 2d | kukubaja | Yes / 99.9¢ | +453.04 | $453 | |
| 2d | HerrieDavis | No / 0.1¢ | -200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 2d | ChoiceMeteor2520 | No / 0.1¢ | -200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 2d | uk01 | No / 0.1¢ | +8,000.00 | $8 | |
| 2d | kukubaja | Yes / 99.9¢ | +20.40 | $20.4 | |
| 2d | mrezaa | Yes / 99.9¢ | -20.40 | $20.4 | |
| 2d | gamesmans | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.08 | $1.08 | |
| 2d | kukubaja | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.08 | $1.08 | |
| 2d | doublejoker | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.08 | $5.07 | |
| 2d | kukubaja | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.08 | $5.07 | |
| 2d | kukubaja | Yes / 99.9¢ | +20.40 | $20.4 | |
| 2d | stringerr | Yes / 99.9¢ | -20.40 | $20.4 | |
| 2d | 0x4452...c57ae7 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -150.00 | $150 | |
| 2d | HerrieDavis | No / 0.1¢ | -150.00 | $0.15 | |
| 2d | 0x241F...e15a | No / 0.1¢ | -5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 2d | twguwje | No / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 2d | GidGud | No / 0.1¢ | -861.49 | $0.86 | |
| 2d | 0xC91b7D9F4463C9985f562149 | No / 0.1¢ | +861.49 | $0.86 | |
| 2d | 0xC91b7D9F4463C9985f562149 | No / 0.1¢ | +400.25 | $0.4 | |
| 2d | TENETENET | No / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 2d | triklozoid | No / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 2d | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +250.25 | $250 |
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