Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Belarus on January 26, 2025. If no candidate achieves a majority, a second round of elections will be scheduled between the top two candidates. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alexander Lukashenko wins this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Belarusian Government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Цэнтральная выбарчая камісія Беларусі, CEC) (https://www.rec.gov.by/en/).