Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?
ActiveVolume
$10K
Txns
397
Traders
109
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$3,356
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
Volume
$10K
Txns
397
Traders
109
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$3,356
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d | Yieldwooda | No / 97.0¢ | -6.26 | $6.07 | |
| 3d | cristinathearena | Yes / 2.6¢ | -3.01 | $0.08 | |
| 3d | 0xbcbAa7c1361C144ab53Ee26d37C5B279f5A0223f-1765154888779 | No / 96.8¢ | +3.25 | $3.15 | |
| 4d | Jadehavena | No / 97.5¢ | -14.59 | $14.2 | |
| 4d | cristinathearena | Yes / 2.6¢ | -5.79 | $0.15 | |
| 4d | cristinathearena | Yes / 2.3¢ | -8.80 | $0.2 | |
| 9d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 1.4¢ | +10.00 | $0.14 | |
| 9d | bmtr | No / 98.7¢ | -3.82 | $3.77 | |
| 9d | jim6973 | No / 98.6¢ | +30.42 | $30 | |
| 9d | PPMT | Yes / 1.4¢ | +16.60 | $0.23 | |
| 13d | mynameiskkk | No / 97.2¢ | -5.15 | $5.01 | |
| 13d | PPMT | Yes / 2.7¢ | -5.15 | $0.14 | |
| 13d | cristinathearena | Yes / 1.2¢ | +7.31 | $0.09 | |
| 13d | kllkdd | No / 98.8¢ | +20.23 | $20 | |
| 13d | PPMT | Yes / 1.2¢ | +2.93 | $0.04 | |
| 13d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 1.2¢ | +10.00 | $0.12 | |
| 15d | PPMT | Yes / 1.2¢ | +10.41 | $0.12 | |
| 15d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 1.2¢ | +10.00 | $0.12 | |
| 15d | MarcintoshX | Yes / 1.2¢ | -28.60 | $0.33 | |
| 15d | cristinathearena | Yes / 1.2¢ | +8.19 | $0.1 | |
| 21d | 0x76d9226a961e093B8cCF03B41Be94f618d286ffA-1771823284355 | No / 92.8¢ | -5.50 | $5.11 | |
| 21d | PPMT | Yes / 6.9¢ | -5.50 | $0.38 | |
| 21d | 0x8eb6...7e5277 | No / 98.5¢ | +1.52 | $1.5 | |
| 21d | bmtr | No / 98.4¢ | -1.52 | $1.5 | |
| 21d | tja | No / 98.2¢ | +500.00 | $491 |
1–25
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