Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
ActiveVolume
$2K
Txns
144
Traders
49
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$2,419
Volume
$2K
Txns
144
Traders
49
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$2,419
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ImSweating | Yes / 8.0¢ | +5.74 | $0.46 | |
| 1d | 0x35bC4A415A5c89c7830D49c4873505be646EA8CC-1770175190660 | Yes / 7.2¢ | -11.11 | $0.8 | |
| 1d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 93.0¢ | -5.37 | $4.99 | |
| 1d | 0xbc1f...4657f0 | No / 90.6¢ | -5.20 | $4.71 | |
| 1d | Chegildek | No / 91.0¢ | +5.20 | $4.73 | |
| 8d | ImSweating | Yes / 8.0¢ | +2.00 | $0.16 | |
| 8d | PPMT | Yes / 7.7¢ | -2.00 | $0.15 | |
| 10d | Marines3312 | Yes / 7.7¢ | -5.26 | $0.41 | |
| 10d | ImSweating | Yes / 8.0¢ | +5.26 | $0.42 | |
| 15d | PPMT | Yes / 7.7¢ | -13.00 | $1 | |
| 15d | ImSweating | Yes / 8.0¢ | +13.00 | $1.04 | |
| 15d | ImSweating | Yes / 9.0¢ | +14.94 | $1.35 | |
| 15d | PPMT | Yes / 9.0¢ | -14.99 | $1.35 | |
| 21d | robotictrader | No / 92.7¢ | -1.02 | $0.95 | |
| 21d | daroghi | Yes / 7.0¢ | -1.02 | $0.07 | |
| 21d | predictdogepepewif | No / 92.7¢ | -20.00 | $18.5 | |
| 21d | daroghi | Yes / 7.0¢ | -20.00 | $1.4 | |
| 23d | keybo | Yes / 8.0¢ | +20.00 | $1.6 | |
| 23d | daroghi | Yes / 8.0¢ | -20.00 | $1.6 | |
| 23d | robotictrader | No / 96.0¢ | +1.02 | $0.98 | |
| 23d | RoadToM3in2026 | Yes / 4.0¢ | +1.02 | $0.04 | |
| 23d | RoadToM3in2026 | Yes / 4.0¢ | +5.21 | $0.21 | |
| 23d | 0x8f3d...69c37e | No / 96.0¢ | +5.21 | $5 | |
| 23d | daroghi | Yes / 7.0¢ | +60.00 | $4.2 | |
| 23d | iusedtowritepoetryforaliving | No / 93.0¢ | +60.00 | $55.8 |
1–25
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
No 98%$392Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Yes 97%$1.03Mvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Yes 69%$515Kvolume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
No 85%$70.8Kvolume
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$1.83Mvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 89%$1.44Mvolume