
Volume
$89K
Txns
1,687
Traders
352
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individual alleged to be acting as an agent of the Iranian government by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Iranian agent” refers to any individual alleged to be acting on behalf of, under the direction of, or in coordination with the Iranian government( including its military or intelligence services) to conduct espionage, collect intelligence, or perform other covert operations that benefit Iran. For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
1–25
Evo Morales arrested by May 31
No 94%$26.4Kvolume
Evo Morales arrested by June 30?
No 78%$245volume
Prince Andrew mugshot released by February 28?
No 100%$13.6Kvolume
Gervonta Davis arrested by January 23, 2026?
No 100%$12.2Kvolume
Hailey Welch jail in 2024?
No 100%$310Kvolume
Will Prince Andrew apologize by Feb 28?
No 100%$14.8Kvolume