
Volume
$48K
Txns
1,005
Traders
193
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any open source model has one of three highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) at any point by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If an open source model is tied with another model for a top three arena score, this will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 100%$114Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 100%$80.1Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 93%$3.14Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Yes 100%$85.5Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 86%$1.82Mvolume
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
No 84%$57Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +20.33 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | AreWeNotEntertained | Yes / 99.9¢ | +20.33 | $20.3 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | No / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | spcfox | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | rwo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,333.00 | $1.33K | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +313.00 | $0.31 | |
| 1y | rwo | Yes / 99.8¢ | +2,125.72 | $2.12K | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.2¢ | +333.33 | $0.67 | |
| 1y | elon777 | No / 0.2¢ | +1,792.39 | $3.58 | |
| 1y | AreWeNotEntertained | Yes / 99.7¢ | +333.33 | $332 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.3¢ | +333.33 | $1 | |
| 1y | Minecraft | No / 0.2¢ | +222.00 | $0.44 | |
| 1y | morcatk0 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +2,429.61 | $2.42K | |
| 1y | elon777 | No / 0.2¢ | +2,207.61 | $4.42 | |
| 1y | morcatk0 | Yes / 99.7¢ | +20.99 | $20.9 | |
| 1y | split | Yes / 99.7¢ | -20.99 | $20.9 | |
| 1y | rwo | Yes / 99.5¢ | +499.98 | $497 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.5¢ | +166.66 | $0.83 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.6¢ | +166.66 | $1 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.4¢ | +166.66 | $0.67 | |
| 1y | Minecraft | No / 0.6¢ | +222.00 | $1.33 | |
| 1y | daroghi | No / 0.7¢ | +91.77 | $0.64 | |
| 1y | rwo | Yes / 99.4¢ | +313.77 | $312 | |
| 1y | uriidmitrych | Yes / 98.0¢ | -30.00 | $29.4 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 99.0¢ | -21.00 | $20.8 |
1–25