
Volume
$80K
Txns
2,198
Traders
176
Fees
$0
Ends
Jul 15, 2025
This is a market about inflation over the 12 month period ending June 2025 before seasonal adjustment as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by over the 12 month period ending in June 2025 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2025 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 15, 2025, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
1–25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$20Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 74%$19.1Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.21Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.6Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$10.7Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 99%$6.96Mvolume