
Volume
$181
Txns
22
Traders
12
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20d | 8.... | Yes / 1.0¢ | +43.62 | $0.44 | |
| 20d | FireMage31 | No / 99.0¢ | +43.60 | $43.2 | |
| 20d | 0xba2c...0f54d0 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.05 | |
| 20d | 8.... | Yes / 1.0¢ | +17.74 | $0.18 | |
| 20d | FireMage31 | No / 99.0¢ | +22.73 | $22.5 | |
| 20d | AJSV | Yes / 6.0¢ | +16.67 | $1 | |
| 20d | FireMage31 | No / 94.2¢ | +16.63 | $15.7 | |
| 20d | FireMage31 | No / 94.2¢ | +44.58 | $42 | |
| 20d | AJSV | Yes / 6.0¢ | +44.68 | $2.68 | |
| 24d | AJSV | Yes / 6.0¢ | +1.12 | $0.07 | |
| 24d | 0x1f05...3aba7b | No / 94.0¢ | +11.09 | $10.4 | |
| 24d | Mojito9 | Yes / 6.0¢ | +10.00 | $0.6 | |
| 24d | 8.... | Yes / 6.0¢ | +6.44 | $0.39 | |
| 24d | AJSV | Yes / 6.0¢ | +4.20 | $0.25 | |
| 24d | 0x14B3159e3f74d52c496D988d66a4b85eD9EdB5C3-1777146013921 | No / 94.0¢ | +10.61 | $10 | |
| 29d | flexer78 | No / 65.0¢ | -7.69 | $5 | |
| 29d | Morgan88 | No / 65.0¢ | +7.58 | $5 | |
| 29d | flexer78 | No / 76.0¢ | -1.32 | $1 | |
| 29d | sc0rpio | No / 76.0¢ | +1.30 | $1 | |
| 1mo | moneymaker25 | Yes / 29.5¢ | +18.61 | $5.65 | |
| 1mo | flexer78 | No / 71.0¢ | +9.15 | $6.5 | |
| 1mo | UsualSuspects | No / 70.0¢ | +10.00 | $7 |
1–22
Will Alberta join the US?
No 96%$121Kvolume
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Yes 67%$434Kvolume
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
No 91%$79.8Kvolume
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
Yes 78%$53.9Kvolume
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
No 77%$11.6Kvolume
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
No 85%$42Kvolume