Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
ActiveVolume
$99K
Txns
1,803
Traders
366
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$8,522
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$99K
Txns
1,803
Traders
366
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$8,522
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/. This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h | 0x34dc80F95407Cd8E02be6cd7437027547c4dd280-1771870222841 | Yes / 31.0¢ | -12.50 | $3.88 | |
| 5h | -Yang- | No / 69.0¢ | -12.50 | $8.63 | |
| 12h | -Yang- | No / 69.0¢ | -5.00 | $3.45 | |
| 12h | 0x31386AfCa83966C21427a9b836d3860604E74736-1777185772949 | Yes / 31.0¢ | -5.00 | $1.55 | |
| 13h | -Yang- | No / 68.0¢ | +1.40 | $0.95 | |
| 13h | Jubosaurus9 | No / 68.0¢ | -1.40 | $0.95 | |
| 14h | 0x8c76...46745f | Yes / 31.0¢ | -1.69 | $0.52 | |
| 14h | -Yang- | No / 69.0¢ | -1.69 | $1.17 | |
| 14h | -Yang- | No / 68.0¢ | +3.13 | $2.13 | |
| 14h | 0x02f7...e9dd8f | Yes / 32.0¢ | +3.13 | $1 | |
| 21h | -Yang- | No / 68.0¢ | +2.89 | $1.97 | |
| 21h | supermeow | No / 68.0¢ | -2.89 | $1.97 | |
| 23h | playwr1ght | No / 68.0¢ | -49.99 | $34 | |
| 23h | -Yang- | No / 68.0¢ | +49.99 | $34 | |
| 1d | dn1997 | No / 68.0¢ | -5.05 | $3.43 | |
| 1d | -Yang- | No / 68.0¢ | +5.05 | $3.43 | |
| 1d | dn1997 | Yes / 31.0¢ | -15.15 | $4.7 | |
| 1d | -Yang- | No / 69.0¢ | -15.15 | $10.5 | |
| 1d | -Yang- | No / 68.0¢ | +15.15 | $10.3 | |
| 1d | dn1997 | Yes / 32.0¢ | +15.15 | $4.85 | |
| 1d | peepeepooppoop | Yes / 32.0¢ | -90.00 | $28.8 | |
| 1d | PascalA | Yes / 32.0¢ | +90.00 | $28.8 | |
| 1d | Noe-17 | Yes / 31.0¢ | -703.84 | $218 | |
| 1d | -Yang- | No / 69.0¢ | -703.84 | $486 | |
| 1d | -Yang- | No / 69.0¢ | -2.90 | $2 |
1–25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 79%$27.1Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
No 94%$1.7Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
No 97%$2.73Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
No 99%$24.8Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 60%$10.6Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
No 83%$2.01Mvolume