Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
ActiveVolume
$12K
Txns
484
Traders
127
Fees
$10
Liquidity
$3,668
Ends
Volume
$12K
Txns
484
Traders
127
Fees
$10
Liquidity
$3,668
Ends
Sep 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h | TraderProMax | No / 26.0¢ | +25.00 | $6.5 | |
| 5h | AJSV | No / 28.0¢ | +40.00 | $11.2 | |
| 5h | SingletonFamilyFund | Yes / 73.1¢ | +110.00 | $81.3 | |
| 5h | TraderProMax | No / 25.0¢ | +25.00 | $6.25 | |
| 5h | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | No / 28.0¢ | +20.00 | $5.6 | |
| 1d | SingletonFamilyFund | Yes / 53.0¢ | -5.00 | $2.65 | |
| 1d | aikko | Yes / 54.0¢ | +5.00 | $2.7 | |
| 1d | benbos | Yes / 67.1¢ | -1.23 | $0.83 | |
| 1d | aikko | Yes / 68.0¢ | +1.23 | $0.84 | |
| 1d | benbos | Yes / 81.0¢ | +1.23 | $1.01 | |
| 1d | AJSV | No / 19.0¢ | +1.23 | $0.23 | |
| 4d | SingletonFamilyFund | Yes / 76.0¢ | +146.37 | $111 | |
| 4d | tthahaha | No / 25.0¢ | -26.00 | $6.5 | |
| 4d | dumbfuqLIQUIDITYprovider | No / 24.2¢ | +172.37 | $42.9 | |
| 5d | 0xefcc...3bab01 | Yes / 74.3¢ | -5.00 | $3.71 | |
| 5d | tthahaha | No / 25.0¢ | -5.00 | $1.25 | |
| 6d | frizzizzi | Yes / 70.2¢ | -205.55 | $144 | |
| 6d | Flnx | Yes / 71.0¢ | +181.73 | $129 | |
| 6d | foxxxy13 | No / 29.0¢ | -23.82 | $6.91 | |
| 9d | 0x2d559375bA5a44276408A7885DF6FE0ECaf9E297-1775615569301 | Yes / 70.2¢ | -12.90 | $9.05 | |
| 9d | foxxxy13 | No / 29.0¢ | -12.90 | $3.74 | |
| 12d | tthahaha | No / 30.0¢ | -1.12 | $0.34 | |
| 12d | rrssd | Yes / 69.2¢ | -1.12 | $0.77 | |
| 12d | AJSV | Yes / 71.0¢ | +2.08 | $1.48 | |
| 12d | opopr | Yes / 70.2¢ | -2.08 | $1.46 |
1–25
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