Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
ActiveVolume
$8K
Txns
404
Traders
77
Fees
$15
Liquidity
$1,799
Ends
Volume
$8K
Txns
404
Traders
77
Fees
$15
Liquidity
$1,799
Ends
Sep 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | Liquidifier | Yes / 16.0¢ | +14.00 | $2.32 | |
| 2d | tthahaha | Yes / 16.0¢ | -14.00 | $2.24 | |
| 3d | Annihilation | No / 86.0¢ | -6.25 | $5.38 | |
| 3d | 0x6E38C0a8807EC7D83Ec01d530ccF64CAcba29A09-1778819214529 | Yes / 13.5¢ | -6.25 | $0.84 | |
| 5d | 0x6E38C0a8807EC7D83Ec01d530ccF64CAcba29A09-1778819214529 | Yes / 16.0¢ | +6.25 | $1.03 | |
| 5d | tthahaha | Yes / 16.0¢ | -6.25 | $1 | |
| 6d | 0x4ef1...cc44f3 | Yes / 16.0¢ | +10.38 | $1.72 | |
| 6d | X-Rabbit.Sezu | No / 84.0¢ | +10.38 | $8.72 | |
| 8d | Annihilation | No / 86.0¢ | -160.00 | $138 | |
| 8d | corsur4 | Yes / 13.5¢ | -160.00 | $21.6 | |
| 9d | Annihilation | No / 80.0¢ | -130.00 | $104 | |
| 9d | 0x0256...13c3eb | Yes / 19.4¢ | -130.00 | $25.2 | |
| 10d | Annihilation | No / 80.0¢ | -1.88 | $1.5 | |
| 10d | nemointheocean | No / 80.0¢ | +1.88 | $1.51 | |
| 10d | Colala | No / 79.0¢ | -23.52 | $18.6 | |
| 10d | X-Rabbit.Sezu | No / 79.0¢ | +183.52 | $146 | |
| 10d | corsur4 | Yes / 21.0¢ | +160.00 | $33.6 | |
| 11d | Annihilation | No / 77.0¢ | -19.67 | $15.1 | |
| 11d | Elton123 | No / 77.0¢ | +19.67 | $15.3 | |
| 11d | Annihilation | No / 77.0¢ | -64.94 | $50 | |
| 11d | molodoyy | No / 77.0¢ | +64.94 | $50.5 | |
| 12d | predictdogepepewif | Yes / 22.3¢ | -100.00 | $22.3 | |
| 12d | Annihilation | No / 77.0¢ | -100.00 | $77 | |
| 13d | Annihilation | No / 77.0¢ | +100.00 | $77.7 | |
| 13d | predictdogepepewif | Yes / 23.0¢ | +100.00 | $23 |
1–25
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
No 99%$393Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Yes 98%$1.04Mvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Yes 71%$517Kvolume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
No 83%$70.8Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 74%$909Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 89%$1.44Mvolume