Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
ActiveVolume
$2K
Txns
175
Traders
43
Fees
$2
Liquidity
$35
Ends
Volume
$2K
Txns
175
Traders
43
Fees
$2
Liquidity
$35
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13d | G008 | No / 48.5¢ | +19.31 | $9.36 | |
| 13d | cx2 | No / 48.0¢ | -0.50 | $0.24 | |
| 13d | tthahaha | No / 48.0¢ | -19.00 | $9.12 | |
| 14d | cx2 | No / 48.0¢ | -8.50 | $4.08 | |
| 14d | hithitfar | No / 48.5¢ | +8.42 | $4.08 | |
| 16d | AJSV | No / 56.0¢ | +38.00 | $21.3 | |
| 16d | hithitfar | No / 55.0¢ | -38.00 | $20.9 | |
| 16d | hithitfar | No / 55.0¢ | -50.25 | $27.6 | |
| 16d | ultralisk | No / 56.0¢ | +9.42 | $5.28 | |
| 16d | 0x9B43331E0C1CD8E9330eE516264fd8235E4133CE-1768317980638 | No / 57.0¢ | +1.92 | $1.09 | |
| 16d | ultralisk | No / 56.0¢ | +40.58 | $22.7 | |
| 16d | hithitfar | No / 55.1¢ | -42.50 | $23.4 | |
| 16d | AJSV | No / 56.0¢ | +40.83 | $22.9 | |
| 16d | hithitfar | No / 56.0¢ | -7.00 | $3.92 | |
| 16d | 0x9B43331E0C1CD8E9330eE516264fd8235E4133CE-1768317980638 | No / 57.0¢ | +7.00 | $3.99 | |
| 17d | cx2 | No / 47.5¢ | +8.91 | $4.23 | |
| 17d | lacuna-m1 | Yes / 53.0¢ | +9.00 | $4.77 | |
| 20d | 0xA6f773c77C876310757a44224B261B668dd51F33-1768165307891 | Yes / 63.0¢ | +7.00 | $4.41 | |
| 20d | hithitfar | No / 38.2¢ | +37.83 | $14.4 | |
| 20d | AJSV | Yes / 62.0¢ | +31.18 | $19.3 | |
| 22d | ScissorsDefense | No / 7.7¢ | -1.00 | $0.08 | |
| 22d | romanew-1-new | No / 8.0¢ | +1.00 | $0.08 | |
| 22d | ScissorsDefense | No / 37.0¢ | -7.00 | $2.59 | |
| 22d | hithitfar | No / 37.3¢ | +6.93 | $2.59 | |
| 22d | tthahaha | No / 19.0¢ | +10.00 | $1.9 |
1–25
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
No 98%$392Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Yes 97%$1.03Mvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?
Yes 100%$81.8Kvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Yes 71%$511Kvolume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
No 85%$70.7Kvolume
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$1.82Mvolume