Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
ActiveVolume
$29K
Txns
1,162
Traders
195
Fees
$14
Liquidity
$5,520
Ends
Volume
$29K
Txns
1,162
Traders
195
Fees
$14
Liquidity
$5,520
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h | Annihilation | No / 72.0¢ | -34.72 | $25 | |
| 3h | molodoyy | No / 72.0¢ | +34.72 | $25.3 | |
| 4d | purebaby | Yes / 28.0¢ | +15.57 | $4.36 | |
| 4d | Bodytobody | No / 69.0¢ | -21.73 | $15 | |
| 4d | Haradwaith | Yes / 30.0¢ | +80.00 | $24 | |
| 4d | 0x34a42279AD | Yes / 28.0¢ | +100.00 | $28 | |
| 4d | Oklmntrader | No / 69.0¢ | -49.17 | $33.9 | |
| 4d | purebaby | Yes / 28.0¢ | +106.88 | $29.9 | |
| 4d | purebaby | Yes / 29.0¢ | +49.76 | $14.4 | |
| 4d | dumbfuqLIQUIDITYprovider | No / 71.0¢ | +423.11 | $304 | |
| 5d | Oklmntrader | No / 69.0¢ | -11.00 | $7.59 | |
| 5d | m33zy | Yes / 30.1¢ | -11.00 | $3.32 | |
| 5d | Oklmntrader | No / 69.0¢ | -3.59 | $2.48 | |
| 5d | 0xa59c...d9a1e4 | Yes / 30.1¢ | -3.59 | $1.08 | |
| 5d | Oklmntrader | No / 69.0¢ | -14.49 | $10 | |
| 5d | 0x04B3F873B003eba3774dF1E5e47A370d27Ee1B7E-1774574222951 | No / 69.0¢ | +14.49 | $10.1 | |
| 5d | X-Rabbit.Sezu | No / 67.0¢ | +108.99 | $73 | |
| 5d | thursdays | Yes / 33.0¢ | +108.99 | $36.9 | |
| 7d | ScottsRoad | Yes / 31.1¢ | -20.00 | $6.23 | |
| 7d | Oklmntrader | No / 68.0¢ | -20.00 | $13.6 | |
| 7d | gummy-usb | Yes / 30.9¢ | +135.00 | $42.9 | |
| 7d | 0xef311fa80d578e033b1445105458d43629b4826 | No / 70.0¢ | +5.00 | $3.5 | |
| 7d | Bodytobody | No / 69.0¢ | +21.74 | $15 | |
| 7d | Oklmntrader | No / 69.0¢ | +98.26 | $67.8 | |
| 7d | 0xef311fa80d578e033b1445105458d43629b4826 | No / 70.0¢ | +5.00 | $3.5 |
1–25
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