Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
ActiveVolume
$16K
Txns
562
Traders
109
Fees
$5
Liquidity
$1,108
Ends
Volume
$16K
Txns
562
Traders
109
Fees
$5
Liquidity
$1,108
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8d | 0x3606F455cF588C84453f56E749cd15BCa4f14e08-1760889589657 | No / 79.0¢ | -59.07 | $46.7 | |
| 8d | tthahaha | No / 79.0¢ | -9.00 | $7.11 | |
| 8d | X-Rabbit.Sezu | No / 79.0¢ | +68.07 | $54.2 | |
| 10d | 0x3606F455cF588C84453f56E749cd15BCa4f14e08-1760889589657 | No / 79.0¢ | -25.32 | $20 | |
| 10d | parameter1 | No / 79.0¢ | +25.32 | $20.2 | |
| 11d | ikengard | Yes / 23.0¢ | -86.08 | $19.8 | |
| 11d | rebate8784 | Yes / 23.0¢ | +86.08 | $20.4 | |
| 17d | 0x34a42279AD | Yes / 20.3¢ | -106.92 | $21.7 | |
| 17d | 0x3606F455cF588C84453f56E749cd15BCa4f14e08-1760889589657 | No / 79.0¢ | -106.92 | $84.5 | |
| 19d | 0x3606F455cF588C84453f56E749cd15BCa4f14e08-1760889589657 | No / 79.0¢ | -7.69 | $6.08 | |
| 19d | auramaur | Yes / 20.3¢ | -7.69 | $1.56 | |
| 20d | 0x34a42279AD | Yes / 20.0¢ | +100.00 | $20 | |
| 20d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 80.0¢ | -432.21 | $346 | |
| 20d | massappealyo | Yes / 19.4¢ | -532.21 | $103 | |
| 22d | BabyIBeenWatchingYou | No / 76.0¢ | -69.00 | $52.4 | |
| 22d | TestFarmer | Yes / 24.0¢ | -69.00 | $16.6 | |
| 22d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 75.0¢ | -37.00 | $27.8 | |
| 22d | TestFarmer | Yes / 25.0¢ | +69.00 | $17.3 | |
| 22d | 0x2b240 | Yes / 25.0¢ | -106.00 | $26.5 | |
| 23d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 75.0¢ | -290.00 | $218 | |
| 23d | luish | No / 75.0¢ | +290.00 | $218 | |
| 23d | 0x3606F455cF588C84453f56E749cd15BCa4f14e08-1760889589657 | No / 75.0¢ | +100.00 | $75 | |
| 23d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 75.0¢ | -100.00 | $75 | |
| 23d | aji234 | Yes / 25.0¢ | -73.00 | $18.3 | |
| 23d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 75.0¢ | -73.00 | $54.8 |
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