Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?
ActiveVolume
$4K
Txns
205
Traders
59
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$4,184
Ends
Volume
$4K
Txns
205
Traders
59
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$4,184
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10d | nani | Yes / 8.7¢ | -9.13 | $0.79 | |
| 10d | Biver52 | Yes / 9.0¢ | +9.13 | $0.82 | |
| 10d | Elias.Thornwell | No / 91.0¢ | +9.13 | $8.34 | |
| 10d | nani | Yes / 9.0¢ | +9.13 | $0.82 | |
| 15d | AiBird | Yes / 8.0¢ | +16.85 | $1.35 | |
| 15d | UssTrippingHigh | No / 92.3¢ | +16.80 | $15.5 | |
| 15d | AiBird | Yes / 8.0¢ | +20.00 | $1.6 | |
| 15d | thecaricature | Yes / 8.0¢ | +20.00 | $1.6 | |
| 15d | jiubuwan | Yes / 7.7¢ | -40.00 | $3.08 | |
| 25d | purebaby | Yes / 9.0¢ | +7.99 | $0.72 | |
| 25d | Biver52 | Yes / 9.0¢ | +12.01 | $1.08 | |
| 25d | Mester | Yes / 9.0¢ | -20.00 | $1.8 | |
| 27d | R21llsa | Yes / 9.0¢ | -10.00 | $0.9 | |
| 27d | purebaby | Yes / 9.0¢ | +10.00 | $0.9 | |
| 27d | R21llsa | Yes / 9.0¢ | +10.00 | $0.9 | |
| 27d | 0x35bC4A415A5c89c7830D49c4873505be646EA8CC-1770175190660 | Yes / 9.0¢ | -10.00 | $0.9 | |
| 1mo | keybo | Yes / 10.0¢ | +11.46 | $1.15 | |
| 1mo | purebaby | Yes / 10.0¢ | -11.46 | $1.15 | |
| 1mo | keybo | Yes / 10.0¢ | +10.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | purebaby | Yes / 10.0¢ | -10.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | Biver52 | Yes / 10.0¢ | -20.00 | $2 | |
| 1mo | BSS37 | Yes / 10.0¢ | -96.45 | $9.64 | |
| 1mo | keybo | Yes / 10.0¢ | -22.72 | $2.27 | |
| 1mo | thecaricature | Yes / 10.0¢ | +200.00 | $20 | |
| 1mo | purebaby | Yes / 10.0¢ | -60.83 | $6.08 |
1–25
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