Volume
$122K
Txns
228
Traders
60
Fees
$0
Ends
Nov 3, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 20% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 by June 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by ARC Prize will qualify. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +478.00 | $0.48 | |
| 11mo | elon777 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,500.00 | $1.5 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.00 | $0.03 | |
| 11mo | whyuasostupid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 11mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,500.00 | $2.5 | |
| 11mo | AgricultureSecretary | No / 99.9¢ | +4,820.00 | $4.82K | |
| 11mo | whyuasostupid | Yes / 0.3¢ | +100.00 | $0.3 | |
| 11mo | noreasapa | No / 99.7¢ | +1,239.00 | $1.24K | |
| 11mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.3¢ | +833.00 | $2.5 | |
| 11mo | Evador | Yes / 0.3¢ | +306.00 | $0.92 | |
| 11mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.7¢ | +67.00 | $0.47 | |
| 11mo | LBZero | Yes / 0.6¢ | +101.00 | $0.61 | |
| 11mo | Evador | Yes / 0.8¢ | +500.00 | $4 | |
| 11mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.9¢ | +277.00 | $2.49 | |
| 11mo | RichardTheTurd | Yes / 0.6¢ | +10.00 | $0.06 | |
| 11mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.5¢ | +500.00 | $2.5 | |
| 11mo | noreasapa | No / 99.3¢ | +1,655.00 | $1.64K | |
| 11mo | AscendSummit | Yes / 0.6¢ | +200.00 | $1.2 | |
| 11mo | goodhappen | No / 99.0¢ | +25.00 | $24.8 | |
| 11mo | 0x3b8f...24d077 | No / 99.0¢ | -20.00 | $19.8 | |
| 11mo | gromozeka-908 | No / 99.0¢ | -5.00 | $4.95 | |
| 11mo | 0x3b8f...24d077 | No / 98.6¢ | +15.00 | $14.8 |
1–25
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Yes 61%$332Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.22Mvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?
Yes 99%$76.6Kvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?
Yes 100%$81.6Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 89%$1.86Mvolume
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$2.87Mvolume