Volume
$135K
Txns
1,314
Traders
326
Fees
$0
Ends
Nov 3, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 85% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 by November 3, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by ARC Prize will qualify. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Yes 59%$332Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.22Mvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?
Yes 100%$82.4Kvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?
Yes 99%$76.6Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 89%$1.86Mvolume
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$2.87Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7mo | 0x0ccd...937396 | No / 99.9¢ | -15.21 | $15.2 | |
| 7mo | seajson | No / 99.9¢ | +15.21 | $15.2 | |
| 7mo | Asdfqwer | No / 99.3¢ | +23.12 | $23 | |
| 7mo | 0x845e...d41b32 | No / 99.3¢ | -23.12 | $23 | |
| 7mo | 0xe4c2...dc7d7e | No / 99.2¢ | -34.07 | $33.8 | |
| 7mo | 0x438d61e858bE1E3726D1fF177cfD91f3aF51CE57-1761558655947 | No / 99.2¢ | +34.07 | $33.8 | |
| 7mo | palta | No / 99.2¢ | -10.00 | $9.92 | |
| 7mo | 0x438d61e858bE1E3726D1fF177cfD91f3aF51CE57-1761558655947 | No / 99.2¢ | +10.00 | $9.92 | |
| 7mo | bamesjond | No / 99.8¢ | +1,254.60 | $1.25K | |
| 7mo | obezyana | No / 99.5¢ | -5.38 | $5.35 | |
| 7mo | S888 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +999.22 | $1 | |
| 7mo | S888 | Yes / 0.4¢ | +250.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | 0xf679...d8ad0b | No / 99.5¢ | +30.15 | $30 | |
| 7mo | obezyana | No / 99.5¢ | -30.15 | $30 | |
| 7mo | PB2.KALININGRAD | No / 99.2¢ | -55.54 | $55.1 | |
| 7mo | 0x438d61e858bE1E3726D1fF177cfD91f3aF51CE57-1761558655947 | No / 99.2¢ | +55.54 | $55.1 | |
| 7mo | 0xf8b4...54454d | No / 95.0¢ | -8.81 | $8.37 | |
| 7mo | obezyana | No / 95.4¢ | +5.55 | $5.29 | |
| 7mo | planktonXD | Yes / 5.8¢ | -3.26 | $0.19 | |
| 7mo | 0xa1ed...035d7c | No / 95.1¢ | -5.55 | $5.28 | |
| 7mo | PB2.KALININGRAD | No / 95.1¢ | +5.55 | $5.28 | |
| 7mo | 0xa3dd...0d6bad | No / 94.4¢ | -4.30 | $4.06 | |
| 7mo | f54940e77 | Yes / 5.6¢ | -4.30 | $0.24 | |
| 7mo | 0x3f3f...925f76 | No / 95.2¢ | -10.20 | $9.71 | |
| 7mo | planktonXD | Yes / 4.8¢ | -10.20 | $0.49 |
1–25