Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30?
ActiveVolume
$4K
Txns
223
Traders
80
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$4,140
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
Volume
$4K
Txns
223
Traders
80
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$4,140
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d | nc3iceibvtvetvbt | Yes / 1.2¢ | +10.36 | $0.12 | |
| 4d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 1.2¢ | +20.00 | $0.24 | |
| 4d | 12234 | No / 98.8¢ | +30.36 | $30 | |
| 5d | libratus1 | No / 98.0¢ | +776.80 | $762 | |
| 5d | Colala | Yes / 2.2¢ | +30.00 | $0.66 | |
| 5d | Wojtek | Yes / 2.0¢ | +487.80 | $9.76 | |
| 5d | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 2.1¢ | +239.00 | $5.02 | |
| 5d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 2.2¢ | +20.00 | $0.44 | |
| 12d | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 4.8¢ | -10.00 | $0.48 | |
| 12d | icantdespite | No / 95.0¢ | -10.00 | $9.5 | |
| 14d | jhg-main | No / 95.8¢ | -107.06 | $103 | |
| 14d | cristinathearena | Yes / 3.0¢ | -5.64 | $0.17 | |
| 14d | Wojtek | No / 95.0¢ | +41.71 | $39.6 | |
| 14d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 3.2¢ | -14.08 | $0.45 | |
| 14d | cristinathearena | Yes / 3.0¢ | -5.63 | $0.17 | |
| 14d | gyy444 | No / 95.0¢ | +10.00 | $9.5 | |
| 14d | Colala | Yes / 3.1¢ | -30.00 | $0.93 | |
| 18d | Adriandt99 | No / 98.1¢ | +10.20 | $10 | |
| 18d | Wojtek | Yes / 2.0¢ | +10.20 | $0.2 | |
| 18d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 2.2¢ | +10.00 | $0.22 | |
| 18d | FortunatelyFestive | No / 97.9¢ | +40.86 | $40 | |
| 18d | gyhs9bkybhy | Yes / 2.1¢ | +0.90 | $0.02 | |
| 18d | Colala | Yes / 2.2¢ | +30.00 | $0.66 | |
| 19d | FortunatelyFestive | No / 97.1¢ | +308.83 | $300 | |
| 19d | cristinathearena | Yes / 2.1¢ | +7.21 | $0.15 |
1–25
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