Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
ActiveVolume
$147K
Txns
3,994
Traders
607
Fees
$19
Liquidity
$7,414
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$147K
Txns
3,994
Traders
607
Fees
$19
Liquidity
$7,414
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
On December 9, Google introduced Willow, a breakthrough state-of-the-art quantum chip. This achievement fueled speculation that Bitcoin's encryption may be vulnerable to quantum computers in the not-so-distant future (see https://www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2024/12/does-googles-new-quantum-chip-willow-threaten-bitcoin-the-crypto-community-responds/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin stops using SHA-256 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | hyperboreanchromosome | No / 94.7¢ | -15.84 | $15 | |
| 1h | HAB-BRAVE | No / 94.7¢ | +15.84 | $15.1 | |
| 14h | valeriafronzo | No / 94.6¢ | +1.00 | $0.95 | |
| 14h | serio56 | No / 94.6¢ | +51.00 | $48.2 | |
| 14h | jamepayne | No / 94.6¢ | +48.00 | $45.4 | |
| 14h | Africa-Toto | No / 94.6¢ | +36.00 | $34.1 | |
| 14h | SFoo1luck | No / 94.2¢ | -136.00 | $128 | |
| 14h | SFoo1luck | No / 94.8¢ | +136.00 | $129 | |
| 14h | tiger555 | Yes / 5.2¢ | +136.00 | $7.07 | |
| 14h | hyperboreanchromosome | No / 94.6¢ | +12.00 | $11.4 | |
| 14h | fish741 | No / 94.2¢ | -120.00 | $113 | |
| 14h | dmitro234 | No / 94.6¢ | +50.00 | $47.3 | |
| 14h | YuriLoza | No / 94.6¢ | +46.00 | $43.5 | |
| 14h | valeriafronzo | No / 94.6¢ | +12.00 | $11.4 | |
| 14h | fish741 | No / 94.8¢ | +120.00 | $114 | |
| 14h | tiger555 | Yes / 5.2¢ | +119.87 | $6.23 | |
| 14h | DegenerateJanet | No / 94.7¢ | -0.13 | $0.12 | |
| 14h | hyperboreanchromosome | No / 94.6¢ | +15.00 | $14.2 | |
| 14h | fish741 | No / 94.2¢ | -15.00 | $14.1 | |
| 14h | fish741 | No / 94.7¢ | +15.00 | $14.3 | |
| 14h | DegenerateJanet | No / 94.7¢ | -15.00 | $14.2 | |
| 14h | hyperboreanchromosome | No / 94.6¢ | +20.00 | $18.9 | |
| 14h | jfoxjfox | No / 94.6¢ | +51.00 | $48.2 | |
| 14h | fish741 | No / 94.2¢ | -122.00 | $115 | |
| 14h | dickcan | No / 94.6¢ | +51.00 | $48.2 |
1–25
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
No 99%$17.9Mvolume
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
No 100%$4.08Mvolume
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
No 91%$2.15Mvolume
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
Yes 53%$1.58Mvolume
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 20?
No 100%$208Kvolume
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?
No 100%$589Kvolume