Will Carlo Giraldi win Tuscany Regional Election?

Regional elections are scheduled to take place in Tuscany on October 12-13, 2025. If no candidate for President of Tuscany is elected with more than 40% of the votes in the first round of this election, a run-off will be held fourteen days later. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Regional Council of Tuscany (Regione Toscana – Consiglio regionale, https://www.regione.toscana.it/osservatorio-elettorale).