Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
ActiveVolume
$9M
Txns
98,621
Traders
18,250
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$107,640
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
Volume
$9M
Txns
98,621
Traders
18,250
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$107,640
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5m | gegegege | No / 98.6¢ | +900.00 | $887 | |
| 5m | tiger11 | Yes / 1.4¢ | +900.00 | $12.6 | |
| 5m | tiger11 | Yes / 1.4¢ | +20.00 | $0.28 | |
| 5m | 0xAB0BA6E6876BbD418A4670f50436852486Ca8fc5-1776844007763 | No / 98.6¢ | +20.00 | $19.7 | |
| 6m | hailty | No / 98.6¢ | +275.00 | $271 | |
| 6m | tiger11 | Yes / 1.4¢ | +275.00 | $3.85 | |
| 9m | tiger11 | Yes / 1.4¢ | +3.38 | $0.05 | |
| 9m | casxsa | No / 98.6¢ | +10.14 | $10 | |
| 9m | BSS37 | Yes / 1.4¢ | +6.76 | $0.09 | |
| 11m | BSS37 | Yes / 1.4¢ | +87.00 | $1.22 | |
| 11m | BSS37 | Yes / 1.4¢ | +6.24 | $0.09 | |
| 11m | Marcella228 | Yes / 1.4¢ | -87.00 | $1.22 | |
| 11m | lora260brinley | Yes / 1.4¢ | -87.00 | $1.22 | |
| 11m | Biver52 | Yes / 1.4¢ | +80.76 | $1.13 | |
| 14m | malakay | No / 98.6¢ | +156.00 | $154 | |
| 14m | eeeww | No / 98.6¢ | -136.76 | $135 | |
| 14m | Biver52 | Yes / 1.4¢ | +19.24 | $0.27 | |
| 15m | 0x25Fc38077ff956e6AbF74Ad9021c9127F7E4b602-1772784003325 | No / 98.6¢ | +5.07 | $5 | |
| 15m | 0x9d5Deed66b30A30a72EdF2A5CAB4632A0c8c6749-1773713887188 | No / 98.6¢ | +5.17 | $5.1 | |
| 15m | eeeww | No / 98.6¢ | -5.17 | $5.1 | |
| 15m | eeeww | No / 98.6¢ | -5.90 | $5.82 | |
| 15m | eeeww | No / 98.6¢ | -5.07 | $5 | |
| 15m | 0xEDFC2757584db31125CD0E1660fC139f5FDCab43-1773713934822 | No / 98.6¢ | +5.90 | $5.82 | |
| 15m | 0xca2BCb68c2CE3dDA0956129f446104fE1B157F25-1773713923544 | No / 98.6¢ | +5.98 | $5.9 | |
| 15m | eeeww | No / 98.6¢ | -5.98 | $5.9 |
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