
Volume
$26K
Txns
592
Traders
141
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of March during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime. Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution. A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun. This market will resolve once the final day in March 2026 is finalized. If the final day in March 2026 has not been finalized by April 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in March which have been finalized up to that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | TENETENET | No / 0.1¢ | -12.19 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | triklozoid | No / 0.1¢ | -29.48 | $0.03 | |
| 2mo | 0a0a0 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -41.67 | $41.6 | |
| 2mo | 0xwon | Yes / 99.9¢ | -0.52 | $0.52 | |
| 2mo | triklozoid | No / 0.1¢ | -0.52 | $0 | |
| 2mo | oidoioi | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 2mo | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 2mo | UnholyScissors | No / 0.1¢ | -49.62 | $0.05 | |
| 2mo | ZXWP | No / 0.1¢ | +49.62 | $0.05 | |
| 2mo | ZXWP | No / 0.1¢ | +2.00 | $0 | |
| 2mo | UnholyScissors | No / 0.1¢ | -2.00 | $0 | |
| 2mo | UnholyScissors | No / 0.1¢ | -3.98 | $0 | |
| 2mo | ZXWP | No / 0.1¢ | +3.98 | $0 | |
| 2mo | UnholyScissors | No / 0.1¢ | -7.96 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | ZXWP | No / 0.1¢ | +7.96 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | UnholyScissors | No / 0.1¢ | -15.94 | $0.02 | |
| 2mo | ZXWP | No / 0.1¢ | +15.94 | $0.02 | |
| 2mo | ZXWP | No / 0.1¢ | +1.98 | $0 | |
| 2mo | UnholyScissors | No / 0.1¢ | -1.98 | $0 | |
| 2mo | UnholyScissors | No / 0.1¢ | -3.94 | $0 | |
| 2mo | ZXWP | No / 0.1¢ | +3.94 | $0 | |
| 2mo | ZXWP | No / 0.1¢ | +7.88 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | UnholyScissors | No / 0.1¢ | -7.88 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | ZXWP | No / 0.1¢ | +556.70 | $0.56 | |
| 2mo | UnholyScissors | No / 0.1¢ | -124.26 | $0.12 |
1–25
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 98%$77.5Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 98%$62.8Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Yes 99%$75Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?
No 99%$31.2Kvolume
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?
No 92%$15.7Kvolume
Will next Claude Mythos debut on the Text Arena Leaderboard at 1500+?
No 93%$7.74Kvolume