
Volume
$31K
Txns
1,374
Traders
253
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime. Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution. A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun. This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 100%$184Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 100%$108Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Yes 100%$114Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.15Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?
No 100%$74.8Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 85%$1.82Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | eniwnfno3344 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1mo | Barbs94 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 1mo | Ryuqwq | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 1mo | srthrthdfghjgujy | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 1mo | davidceto | Yes / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1mo | wargergreg | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3.15 | $3.15 | |
| 1mo | tiger11er | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 1mo | wwder | No / 0.1¢ | +3.15 | $0 | |
| 1mo | davidceto | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 1mo | frefgewwef34rt43 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 1mo | KHSFdfs | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1mo | Griahasd | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1mo | davidceto | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 1mo | davidceto | Yes / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1mo | grtsdtgtrdjhhgaerftga | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 1mo | davidceto | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 1mo | 0x16B3321C87d49CA0E72c16169855734B9D630C90-1775433072870 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 1mo | Charybdis11 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 1mo | davidceto | Yes / 99.9¢ | -8.15 | $8.14 | |
| 1mo | sgfw4234 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1mo | 0xRocket666 | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | Chariclo112 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 1mo | pelicanking | Yes / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 1mo | davidceto | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 1mo | ssw23 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 |
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