Will Daniel Baluta finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?

Nicușor Dan, the current Mayor of Bucharest, was elected President of Romania on May 18, 2025, triggering a mayoral by-election expected within 90 days of his departure. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the third most votes in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election. If no by-election takes place by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).