
Volume
$88K
Txns
2,066
Traders
523
Fees
$0
Ends
May 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any DeepSeek model has the highest Arena Score on the lmarena.ai Leaderboard at any point between January 23 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable before this market's resolution date, another source will be chosen.
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 93%$3.12Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 99%$76.9Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 86%$1.8Mvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
No 57%$740Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 98%$61Kvolume
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
No 61%$50Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1,516.72 | $1.52K | |
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3,372.28 | $3.37 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | PolyDump | Yes / 0.3¢ | +61.00 | $0.18 | |
| 1y | Ordon | No / 99.9¢ | +5,000.00 | $4.99K | |
| 1y | PolyDump | Yes / 0.3¢ | +15.00 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | sadet | No / 99.7¢ | +15.00 | $15 | |
| 1y | alchemys | No / 99.7¢ | +25.00 | $24.9 | |
| 1y | PolyDump | Yes / 0.3¢ | +25.00 | $0.07 | |
| 1y | PolyDump | Yes / 0.3¢ | +10.00 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | senya | No / 99.7¢ | +10.00 | $9.97 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -3.00 | $3 | |
| 1y | Orpheon | No / 99.9¢ | +3.00 | $3 | |
| 1y | notebookled | No / 99.8¢ | -25.08 | $25 | |
| 1y | bomp-822 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -25.08 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -3.00 | $3 | |
| 1y | Orpheon | No / 99.9¢ | +3.00 | $3 | |
| 1y | sdgrert | No / 99.9¢ | +7.15 | $7.14 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -7.15 | $7.14 | |
| 1y | gdsgdjhtfh | No / 99.9¢ | +7.26 | $7.25 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -7.26 | $7.25 | |
| 1y | jyuyiu | No / 99.9¢ | +3.55 | $3.55 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -3.55 | $3.55 | |
| 1y | dfgvghjxds | No / 99.9¢ | +3.42 | $3.42 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -3.42 | $3.42 |
1–25