
Volume
$90K
Txns
1,950
Traders
451
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any DeepSeek model has the highest Arena Score on the lmarena.ai Leaderboard at any point between January 23 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable before this market's resolution date, another source will be chosen.
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Yes 100%$1.23Mvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
Yes 100%$797Kvolume
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Yes 100%$1.24Mvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Yes 100%$811Kvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Yes 100%$815Kvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Yes 100%$352Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11mo | whydoineedausername | No / 99.9¢ | -3.61 | $3.61 | |
| 11mo | rachelgreen | No / 99.9¢ | +3.61 | $3.61 | |
| 11mo | philipvaldez | No / 99.9¢ | +3.47 | $3.47 | |
| 11mo | whydoineedausername | No / 99.9¢ | -3.47 | $3.47 | |
| 11mo | anita78 | No / 99.9¢ | +3.31 | $3.31 | |
| 11mo | whydoineedausername | No / 99.9¢ | -3.31 | $3.31 | |
| 11mo | catherine30 | No / 99.9¢ | +3.90 | $3.9 | |
| 11mo | whydoineedausername | No / 99.9¢ | -3.90 | $3.9 | |
| 11mo | thomasjimenez | No / 99.9¢ | +2.53 | $2.53 | |
| 11mo | whydoineedausername | No / 99.9¢ | -2.53 | $2.53 | |
| 11mo | whydoineedausername | No / 99.9¢ | -4.96 | $4.96 | |
| 11mo | oorw998 | No / 99.9¢ | +4.96 | $4.96 | |
| 11mo | whydoineedausername | No / 99.9¢ | -3.81 | $3.81 | |
| 11mo | jonathanlong | No / 99.9¢ | +3.81 | $3.81 | |
| 11mo | whydoineedausername | No / 99.9¢ | -4.15 | $4.15 | |
| 11mo | rhondamedina | No / 99.9¢ | +4.15 | $4.15 | |
| 11mo | whydoineedausername | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 11mo | melissaanderson | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 11mo | ylopez | No / 99.9¢ | +3.59 | $3.59 | |
| 11mo | whydoineedausername | No / 99.9¢ | -3.59 | $3.59 | |
| 11mo | whydoineedausername | No / 99.9¢ | -3.44 | $3.44 | |
| 11mo | zdaniel | No / 99.9¢ | +3.44 | $3.44 | |
| 11mo | jeffery96 | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 11mo | whydoineedausername | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 11mo | whydoineedausername | No / 99.9¢ | -2.61 | $2.61 |
1–25