Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?
ActiveVolume
$250K
Txns
2,072
Traders
455
Fees
$4
Liquidity
$6,041
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
Volume
$250K
Txns
2,072
Traders
455
Fees
$4
Liquidity
$6,041
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | SmithBenjamin | No / 98.0¢ | +165.00 | $162 | |
| 1d | Wojtek | Yes / 2.0¢ | +165.00 | $3.3 | |
| 3d | ERASERKK | Yes / 2.1¢ | -258.64 | $5.43 | |
| 3d | Perypery | Yes / 2.1¢ | -68.57 | $1.44 | |
| 3d | iusedtowritepoetryforaliving | No / 97.8¢ | -327.21 | $320 | |
| 3d | hyuingho | No / 97.9¢ | +51.00 | $49.9 | |
| 3d | ubivala170 | No / 97.9¢ | +50.00 | $49 | |
| 3d | ibraggim2077 | No / 97.9¢ | +50.00 | $49 | |
| 3d | ERASERKK | Yes / 2.1¢ | -734.94 | $15.4 | |
| 3d | kjuyhb | No / 97.9¢ | +51.00 | $49.9 | |
| 3d | deliaszara42646 | No / 97.9¢ | +43.18 | $42.3 | |
| 3d | CompulsiveGambler | No / 97.8¢ | -1,000.00 | $978 | |
| 3d | gurliashvi1 | No / 97.9¢ | +19.88 | $19.5 | |
| 5d | R18helloworld | Yes / 2.0¢ | -141.00 | $2.82 | |
| 5d | R18helloworld | Yes / 1.9¢ | -8.02 | $0.15 | |
| 5d | jjeeesusssus | Yes / 1.9¢ | -10.00 | $0.19 | |
| 5d | Wojtek | Yes / 2.0¢ | +159.02 | $3.29 | |
| 5d | cassianvale63-lbl | Yes / 2.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.1 | |
| 5d | Wojtek | Yes / 2.0¢ | +500.00 | $10 | |
| 5d | valera3fcv | No / 98.0¢ | -42.00 | $41.2 | |
| 5d | R18helloworld | Yes / 2.0¢ | +140.00 | $2.8 | |
| 5d | chloe-mua.london | No / 98.0¢ | -21.12 | $20.7 | |
| 5d | gurliashvi1 | No / 98.0¢ | -20.00 | $19.6 | |
| 5d | infuzoria | No / 98.0¢ | -50.00 | $49 | |
| 5d | libratus1 | No / 98.0¢ | +778.12 | $763 |
1–25
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
No 98%$393Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Yes 97%$1.04Mvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Yes 71%$516Kvolume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
No 85%$70.8Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 74%$907Kvolume
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$1.83Mvolume