
Volume
$186K
Txns
3,516
Traders
1,099
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 30, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity led by him, enters into an agreement to buy OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announced agreement between Elon Musk and OpenAI will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. An agreement to merge with an entity led by Elon Musk will count toward "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Elon Musk, Sam Altman, and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 100%$189Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 100%$120Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Yes 100%$116Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.16Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?
No 100%$74.8Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 86%$1.83Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | anthony85 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.35 | $0 | |
| 1y | sverlee7 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.35 | $1.35 | |
| 1y | anthony85 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -103.09 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | CrashOverride95 | No / 99.9¢ | -103.09 | $103 | |
| 1y | LBZone | No / 99.8¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | anthony85 | No / 99.8¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,389.11 | $2.39 | |
| 1y | LBZone | No / 99.9¢ | -350.00 | $350 | |
| 1y | mitraa | No / 99.9¢ | +2,739.11 | $2.74K | |
| 1y | anthony85 | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 1y | RichardTheTurd | Yes / 0.3¢ | -10.50 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 0.3¢ | -10.50 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | GollumGekko | No / 99.6¢ | +311.25 | $310 | |
| 1y | RichardTheTurd | Yes / 0.4¢ | -10.50 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | anthony85 | Yes / 0.4¢ | +342.75 | $1.35 | |
| 1y | e001kx | No / 99.9¢ | +29.03 | $29 | |
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +29.03 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | Harsi | No / 99.9¢ | +32.03 | $32 | |
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.03 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 1y | pnevmoslon | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | d111RET | No / 99.9¢ | +17.02 | $17 | |
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +17.02 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | hollowaymax | No / 99.9¢ | +30.03 | $30 |
1–25