
Volume
$153K
Txns
1,856
Traders
380
Fees
$0
Ends
Jul 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk publicly supports or endorses the "One Big Beautiful Bill" by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Musk must clearly express support for the bill as a whole—e.g., calling for its passage or praising it. Support for individual components, vague or sarcastic statements, or ambiguous statements will not qualify. The "One Big Beautiful Bill" refers to the Trump administration's flagship 2025 legislative package—introduced as a budget reconciliation bill and described by Trump or the White House as the "Big Beautiful Bill." Substantial amendments or renaming will not disqualify it, so long as the bill remains a budget reconciliation bill that includes major federal tax policy changes. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10mo | FredG | No / 99.5¢ | -5.31 | $5.28 | |
| 10mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.5¢ | -5.31 | $0.03 | |
| 10mo | tonioliver | No / 99.9¢ | +11.03 | $11 | |
| 10mo | Oompa-Loompa | No / 99.9¢ | -11.03 | $11 | |
| 10mo | Oompa-Loompa | No / 99.9¢ | -18.30 | $18.3 | |
| 10mo | sawyerelizabeth | No / 99.9¢ | +18.30 | $18.3 | |
| 10mo | ericbrewer | No / 99.9¢ | +16.97 | $16.9 | |
| 10mo | Oompa-Loompa | No / 99.9¢ | -16.97 | $16.9 | |
| 10mo | jacobsstephen | No / 99.9¢ | +12.89 | $12.9 | |
| 10mo | Oompa-Loompa | No / 99.9¢ | -12.89 | $12.9 | |
| 10mo | uwise | No / 99.9¢ | +14.32 | $14.3 | |
| 10mo | Oompa-Loompa | No / 99.9¢ | -14.32 | $14.3 | |
| 10mo | hawkinselizabeth | No / 99.9¢ | +12.40 | $12.4 | |
| 10mo | Oompa-Loompa | No / 99.9¢ | -12.40 | $12.4 | |
| 10mo | Oompa-Loompa | No / 99.9¢ | -10.54 | $10.5 | |
| 10mo | carpentermaxwell | No / 99.9¢ | +10.54 | $10.5 | |
| 10mo | Oompa-Loompa | No / 99.9¢ | -14.42 | $14.4 | |
| 10mo | myersrose | No / 99.9¢ | +14.42 | $14.4 | |
| 10mo | Oompa-Loompa | No / 99.9¢ | -10.71 | $10.7 | |
| 10mo | fischerjoshua | No / 99.9¢ | +10.71 | $10.7 | |
| 10mo | Oompa-Loompa | No / 99.9¢ | -11.50 | $11.5 | |
| 10mo | baileyronald | No / 99.9¢ | +11.50 | $11.5 | |
| 10mo | Oompa-Loompa | No / 99.9¢ | -12.29 | $12.3 | |
| 10mo | singletonelizabeth | No / 99.9¢ | +12.29 | $12.3 | |
| 10mo | heidi93 | No / 99.9¢ | +13.43 | $13.4 |
1–25
Will the next reconciliation bill be passed before July?
No 100%$129Kvolume
Will reconciliation bill be passed by Memorial day?
No 100%$57Kvolume
Will next reconciliation bill lift debt ceiling in 2025?
Yes 100%$21.1Kvolume
Trump ends taxes on tips before August?
Yes 100%$252Kvolume
Will the next reconciliation bill be passed between July 1 and July 6?
Yes 100%$74Kvolume
Will the next reconciliation bill be passed between July 21 and July 27?
No 100%$13.9Kvolume