
Volume
$54K
Txns
1,202
Traders
334
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2025
On January 22, Sam Altman invited Elon Musk to visit the Abilene Stargate data center site after Musk expressed skepticism of the Stargate project (see: https://x.com/sama/status/1882106524090482701?s=46). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk visits the Stargate data center site in Abilene, Texas, by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be video or photo evidence confirming the visit, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 100%$189Kvolume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Yes 61%$332Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 95%$3.21Mvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?
Yes 100%$73.7Kvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?
Yes 99%$77.8Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Yes 100%$117Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | BlizzardFox | No / 98.0¢ | -3.00 | $2.94 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 2.0¢ | -3.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 2.0¢ | -1.35 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | Markudo | No / 98.0¢ | -1.35 | $1.32 | |
| 1y | klaasr | Yes / 0.2¢ | +563.43 | $1 | |
| 1y | FallLine | Yes / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 97.9¢ | +18.83 | $18.4 | |
| 1y | FallLine | Yes / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -289.60 | $0.29 | |
| 1y | FallLine | Yes / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | FallLine | Yes / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | cielo-nisirepellat | No / 98.7¢ | +5.00 | $4.93 | |
| 1y | FallLine | Yes / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | Opoeidn | No / 99.9¢ | -1.09 | $1.09 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.09 | $0 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -75.22 | $0.08 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | No / 99.9¢ | -75.22 | $75.1 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.40 | $0 | |
| 1y | RiftSpruce | No / 99.9¢ | -1.40 | $1.4 | |
| 1y | Auric-716 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.25 | $1.25 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.25 | $0 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.66 | $0 | |
| 1y | 0x9dc0cD380739a3e3f7eea1E28E1D4D603223a471-1738556378031 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.66 | $1.66 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.79 | $0 | |
| 1y | LichenSirocco | No / 99.9¢ | -1.79 | $1.79 |
1–25