Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, the 12th President of Turkey, is seeking reelection in the 2023 Turkish general election, currently scheduled to take place on May 14, 2023. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Recep Tayyip Erdogan wins the 2023 Turkish presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market includes any potential second round. If the result isn't known by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Turkish government (e.g. https://www.ysk.gov.tr/en/main-page), however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.