Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?

This market will resolve to "Yes” if Ruben Gallego wins the popular vote in the 2024 Arizona US Senate election by between 2.0% (inclusive) and 3.0% (exclusive) when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Ruben Gallego and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the 2024 Arizona US Senate election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Arizona has certified the vote for this race. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.