
Volume
$322K
Txns
6,656
Traders
378
Fees
$0
Ends
Nov 30, 2025
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) Google's Gemini 3.0 model is made available to the general public. For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 3.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.0 (e.g. Gemini 3.0 pro would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 2.0, similar to the progression from Gemini 1.0 to Gemini 2.0. Products labeled as Gemini 2.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Yes 61%$332Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.21Mvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?
Yes 99%$76.6Kvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?
Yes 100%$81.6Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 89%$1.86Mvolume
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$2.87Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | untaken | No / 99.9¢ | -200.50 | $200 | |
| 6mo | ballzi. | Yes / 0.1¢ | -200.50 | $0.2 | |
| 6mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +550.00 | $0.55 | |
| 6mo | ballzi. | Yes / 0.1¢ | -450.00 | $0.45 | |
| 6mo | burnurbackyard | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 6mo | sniper8888 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +133.29 | $0.13 | |
| 6mo | gogogo1234556 | No / 99.9¢ | +215.03 | $215 | |
| 6mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +68.26 | $0.07 | |
| 6mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +13.48 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | costcostaff01 | No / 99.9¢ | +91.00 | $90.9 | |
| 6mo | sniper8888 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +91.00 | $0.09 | |
| 6mo | sniper8888 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +153.84 | $0.15 | |
| 6mo | influenz.eth | No / 99.9¢ | +1,550.00 | $1.55K | |
| 6mo | Notblu | Yes / 0.1¢ | -153.84 | $0.15 | |
| 6mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +180.13 | $0.18 | |
| 6mo | sniper8888 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +369.87 | $0.37 | |
| 6mo | ignc | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | sniper8888 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +252.00 | $0.25 | |
| 6mo | costcostaff01 | No / 99.9¢ | +252.00 | $252 | |
| 6mo | influenz.eth | No / 99.9¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 6mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 6mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +119.87 | $0.12 | |
| 6mo | ablexm | Yes / 0.1¢ | +326.13 | $0.33 | |
| 6mo | costcostaff01 | No / 99.9¢ | +446.00 | $446 | |
| 6mo | costcostaff01 | No / 99.9¢ | +637.00 | $636 |
1–25