Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?

Resolved

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Volume

$510K

Txns

8,175

Traders

1,052

Fees

Ends

Jan 31, 2026

AI Business Gemini 3 Tech

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini 3 model with a score of at least the specified score by the specified January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.

Analytics

Volume

Fees

Age	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
4mo	0 RolandChang	No / 99.9¢	-2,749.40	$2.75K
4mo	0 blunderbot	No / 99.9¢	-27.90	$27.9
4mo	0 0x465A35c281148a2f7AF8b92d2a1F4da03742CA63-1736129497857	No / 99.9¢	+2,777.30	$2.77K
4mo	0 RolandChang	No / 99.9¢	-699.12	$698
4mo	0 0x844AC1AEe4dC203080e63e650E043A8aD8145f53-1765558169086	No / 99.9¢	+699.12	$698
4mo	0 RolandChang	No / 99.9¢	-497.98	$497
4mo	0 Perypery	Yes / 0.1¢	-497.98	$0.5
4mo	0 0x4018...7dd14a	Yes / 0.1¢	+224.63	$0.22
4mo	cqk	Yes / 0.1¢	-500.00	$0.5
4mo	0 RolandChang	No / 99.9¢	-275.37	$275
4mo	0 0xef2a...99bd7e	Yes / 0.1¢	+7.63	$0.01
4mo	0 0x9380dB17dD5Ab2ce55301effA758fD71a6e501ed-1764517074530	No / 99.9¢	+174.00	$174
4mo	0 0x4018...7dd14a	Yes / 0.1¢	+166.37	$0.17
4mo	0 triklozoid	Yes / 0.1¢	+14.99	$0.01
4mo	0 Cassandrah5	No / 99.1¢	-7.90	$7.83
4mo	NFLandChill	Yes / 0.2¢	+55.26	$0.11
4mo	0 blunderbot	No / 99.1¢	+10.00	$9.91
4mo	0 Jillf3	No / 99.1¢	-10.00	$9.91
4mo	0 0xef2a...99bd7e	Yes / 0.1¢	+229.37	$0.23
4mo	0 TENETENET	Yes / 0.1¢	+100.00	$0.1
4mo	NFLandChill	Yes / 0.2¢	+9.34	$0.02
4mo	0 blunderbot	No / 99.1¢	+10.00	$9.91
4mo	0 0xe9b4...42f03a	Yes / 0.1¢	+164.00	$0.16
4mo	0 0xf8b7...2114de	Yes / 0.1¢	+8.00	$0.01
4mo	0 OriKing	No / 99.9¢	-100.00	$99.9

Age	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
4mo	0 RolandChang	No / 99.9¢	-2,749.40	$2.75K
4mo	0 blunderbot	No / 99.9¢	-27.90	$27.9
4mo	0 0x465A35c281148a2f7AF8b92d2a1F4da03742CA63-1736129497857	No / 99.9¢	+2,777.30	$2.77K
4mo	0 RolandChang	No / 99.9¢	-699.12	$698
4mo	0 0x844AC1AEe4dC203080e63e650E043A8aD8145f53-1765558169086	No / 99.9¢	+699.12	$698
4mo	0 RolandChang	No / 99.9¢	-497.98	$497
4mo	0 Perypery	Yes / 0.1¢	-497.98	$0.5
4mo	0 0x4018...7dd14a	Yes / 0.1¢	+224.63	$0.22
4mo	cqk	Yes / 0.1¢	-500.00	$0.5
4mo	0 RolandChang	No / 99.9¢	-275.37	$275
4mo	0 0xef2a...99bd7e	Yes / 0.1¢	+7.63	$0.01
4mo	0 0x9380dB17dD5Ab2ce55301effA758fD71a6e501ed-1764517074530	No / 99.9¢	+174.00	$174
4mo	0 0x4018...7dd14a	Yes / 0.1¢	+166.37	$0.17
4mo	0 triklozoid	Yes / 0.1¢	+14.99	$0.01
4mo	0 Cassandrah5	No / 99.1¢	-7.90	$7.83
4mo	NFLandChill	Yes / 0.2¢	+55.26	$0.11
4mo	0 blunderbot	No / 99.1¢	+10.00	$9.91
4mo	0 Jillf3	No / 99.1¢	-10.00	$9.91
4mo	0 0xef2a...99bd7e	Yes / 0.1¢	+229.37	$0.23
4mo	0 TENETENET	Yes / 0.1¢	+100.00	$0.1
4mo	NFLandChill	Yes / 0.2¢	+9.34	$0.02
4mo	0 blunderbot	No / 99.1¢	+10.00	$9.91
4mo	0 0xe9b4...42f03a	Yes / 0.1¢	+164.00	$0.16
4mo	0 0xf8b7...2114de	Yes / 0.1¢	+8.00	$0.01
4mo	0 OriKing	No / 99.9¢	-100.00	$99.9

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?

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Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?

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Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?

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Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?

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