Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Resolved

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Volume

$701K

Txns

7,636

Traders

1,031

Fees

Ends

Jan 31, 2026

AI Business Gemini 3 Tech

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini 3 model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Analytics

Volume

Fees

Age	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
4mo	0 OriKing	No / 99.9¢	-7.60	$7.59
4mo	1BeaNataTime	No / 99.9¢	+7.60	$7.59
4mo	0 weijia053	No / 99.7¢	-3.60	$3.59
4mo	0 OriKing	No / 99.7¢	+3.60	$3.59
4mo	0 OriKing	No / 99.6¢	+4.00	$3.98
4mo	0 bvb23	No / 99.6¢	-4.00	$3.98
4mo	0 Ardtysrt01	Yes / 0.6¢	-60.93	$0.37
4mo	0 Ardtysrt01	Yes / 0.8¢	-157.36	$1.26
4mo	rontro28	No / 98.0¢	+100.00	$98
4mo	0 aimsojke	Yes / 0.3¢	-2,896.75	$8.69
4mo	ScottVan	Yes / 1.7¢	-290.00	$4.93
4mo	NFLandChill	Yes / 0.1¢	-40.62	$0.04
4mo	0 alnecrp	Yes / 1.1¢	+9,055.28	$100
4mo	0 aikko	No / 98.1¢	+500.00	$491
4mo	0 PotatoKotato	No / 99.8¢	+1,000.00	$998
4mo	ScottyNooo	No / 97.2¢	+2,222.00	$2.16K
4mo	GollumGekko	No / 97.0¢	+187.42	$182
4mo	rau1	Yes / 0.1¢	-1,378.20	$1.38
4mo	GollumGekko	No / 99.1¢	+222.00	$220
4mo	0 OriKing	No / 99.9¢	-239.11	$239
4mo	ScottyNooo	Yes / 0.1¢	+700.66	$0.7
4mo	rau1	Yes / 0.1¢	-939.77	$0.94
4mo	BeneGesseritVoice	No / 99.7¢	-5,286.07	$5.27K
4mo	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	Yes / 0.2¢	-179.81	$0.36
4mo	0 aimsojke	Yes / 0.3¢	-5,106.26	$15.3

Age	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
4mo	0 OriKing	No / 99.9¢	-7.60	$7.59
4mo	1BeaNataTime	No / 99.9¢	+7.60	$7.59
4mo	0 weijia053	No / 99.7¢	-3.60	$3.59
4mo	0 OriKing	No / 99.7¢	+3.60	$3.59
4mo	0 OriKing	No / 99.6¢	+4.00	$3.98
4mo	0 bvb23	No / 99.6¢	-4.00	$3.98
4mo	0 Ardtysrt01	Yes / 0.6¢	-60.93	$0.37
4mo	0 Ardtysrt01	Yes / 0.8¢	-157.36	$1.26
4mo	rontro28	No / 98.0¢	+100.00	$98
4mo	0 aimsojke	Yes / 0.3¢	-2,896.75	$8.69
4mo	ScottVan	Yes / 1.7¢	-290.00	$4.93
4mo	NFLandChill	Yes / 0.1¢	-40.62	$0.04
4mo	0 alnecrp	Yes / 1.1¢	+9,055.28	$100
4mo	0 aikko	No / 98.1¢	+500.00	$491
4mo	0 PotatoKotato	No / 99.8¢	+1,000.00	$998
4mo	ScottyNooo	No / 97.2¢	+2,222.00	$2.16K
4mo	GollumGekko	No / 97.0¢	+187.42	$182
4mo	rau1	Yes / 0.1¢	-1,378.20	$1.38
4mo	GollumGekko	No / 99.1¢	+222.00	$220
4mo	0 OriKing	No / 99.9¢	-239.11	$239
4mo	ScottyNooo	Yes / 0.1¢	+700.66	$0.7
4mo	rau1	Yes / 0.1¢	-939.77	$0.94
4mo	BeneGesseritVoice	No / 99.7¢	-5,286.07	$5.27K
4mo	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	Yes / 0.2¢	-179.81	$0.36
4mo	0 aimsojke	Yes / 0.3¢	-5,106.26	$15.3

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

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Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

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Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

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Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

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Activity

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