
Volume
$145K
Txns
1,019
Traders
182
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2023
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-4 has 500 billion or more parameters when released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market covers how many parameters GPT-4 has at the time of its initial release, and will resolve based on that number regardless of whether that figure is later increased or decreased. If GPT-4 is not released by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. GPT-4 refers to a product that is explicitly named GPT-4, or is a successor to GPT-3 in the way that GPT-3 was a successor to GPT-2; it cannot be branded as GPT3.5 or a version of GPT-3. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, however a consensus of credible reporting (including corroborating statements from employees of OpenAI where available) may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2y | theo5 | Yes / 50.0¢ | -1,397.02 | $699 | |
| 2y | Apsalar | Yes / 50.0¢ | -25.00 | $12.5 | |
| 2y | aenews2 | Yes / 50.0¢ | +1,422.02 | $711 | |
| 2y | funnyday | No / 50.0¢ | -6,752.98 | $3.38K | |
| 2y | Apsalar | Yes / 50.0¢ | -150.00 | $75 | |
| 2y | theo5 | Yes / 50.0¢ | -6,602.98 | $3.3K | |
| 2y | Tenable-Dome | No / 50.0¢ | -182.20 | $91.1 | |
| 2y | BUBASIIK | Yes / 50.0¢ | -293.20 | $147 | |
| 2y | redshift | No / 50.0¢ | -111.00 | $55.5 | |
| 2y | Apsalar | Yes / 51.0¢ | +25.00 | $12.8 | |
| 2y | Tenable-Dome | No / 49.0¢ | +50.00 | $24.5 | |
| 2y | Apsalar | Yes / 51.0¢ | +25.00 | $12.8 | |
| 2y | funnyday | No / 49.0¢ | +6,215.78 | $3.05K | |
| 2y | theo5 | Yes / 51.0¢ | +1,215.78 | $620 | |
| 2y | theo5 | Yes / 51.0¢ | +5,000.00 | $2.55K | |
| 2y | BUBASIIK | Yes / 53.0¢ | +181.56 | $96.2 | |
| 2y | funnyday | No / 47.0¢ | +181.56 | $85.3 | |
| 2y | Apsalar | Yes / 53.0¢ | -75.00 | $39.8 | |
| 2y | BUBASIIK | Yes / 53.0¢ | +75.00 | $39.8 | |
| 2y | funnyday | No / 48.0¢ | +320.00 | $154 | |
| 2y | WordleAddict | No / 48.0¢ | -320.00 | $154 | |
| 2y | funnyday | No / 45.0¢ | +36.64 | $16.5 | |
| 2y | BUBASIIK | Yes / 55.0¢ | +36.64 | $20.2 | |
| 2y | funnyday | Yes / 51.0¢ | -1,784.22 | $910 | |
| 2y | theo5 | Yes / 51.0¢ | +1,784.22 | $910 |
1–25
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