
Volume
$62K
Txns
3,227
Traders
248
Fees
$0
Ends
Aug 10, 2025
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) OpenAI's GPT-5 model is made available to the general public. To qualify, GPT-5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5 (e.g. ChatGPT-5o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-4, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 93%$3.11Mvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
No 58%$740Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 86%$1.8Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 97%$59.2Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 97%$56.2Kvolume
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 90%$944Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10mo | 9182736455463728190 | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 10mo | RichardTheTurd | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | oVyg7f | Yes / 0.1¢ | -283.13 | $0.3 | |
| 10mo | rocky42005 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +18.00 | $0.04 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.1¢ | +265.13 | $0.27 | |
| 10mo | daroghi | Yes / 0.2¢ | +20.00 | $0.04 | |
| 10mo | oVyg7f | Yes / 0.2¢ | -69.00 | $0.14 | |
| 10mo | rocky42005 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +49.00 | $0.1 | |
| 10mo | cigarettes | No / 99.7¢ | +80.00 | $79.8 | |
| 10mo | daroghi | Yes / 0.3¢ | +80.00 | $0.24 | |
| 10mo | Aminoss00xx00xx77 | Yes / 0.7¢ | +137.50 | $1 | |
| 10mo | rocky42005 | Yes / 0.8¢ | -37.50 | $0.3 | |
| 10mo | daroghi | Yes / 0.7¢ | -100.00 | $0.7 | |
| 10mo | rocky42005 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +120.00 | $0.24 | |
| 10mo | cigarettes | No / 99.8¢ | +120.00 | $120 | |
| 10mo | Gr33d | No / 99.6¢ | -135.00 | $134 | |
| 10mo | daroghi | Yes / 0.4¢ | +100.00 | $0.4 | |
| 10mo | bosshog | No / 99.6¢ | +235.00 | $234 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.5¢ | -20.00 | $0.1 | |
| 10mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.2¢ | +200.00 | $198 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.8¢ | -20.00 | $0.16 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 1.0¢ | -20.00 | $0.2 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.8¢ | -20.00 | $0.16 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.4¢ | -20.00 | $0.08 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.4¢ | -20.00 | $0.08 |
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