
Volume
$58K
Txns
3,310
Traders
264
Fees
$0
Ends
Aug 11, 2025
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) OpenAI's GPT-5 model is made available to the general public. To qualify, GPT-5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5 (e.g. ChatGPT-5o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-4, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 93%$3.11Mvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
No 58%$740Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 86%$1.8Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 97%$59.2Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 97%$56.2Kvolume
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 90%$944Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.3¢ | -20.00 | $0.06 | |
| 10mo | LukeGamma | Yes / 0.3¢ | -29.91 | $0.09 | |
| 10mo | LukeGamma | Yes / 0.3¢ | -1,309.42 | $3.93 | |
| 10mo | Parz1vaI | Yes / 0.3¢ | +1,379.33 | $4.14 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.3¢ | -20.00 | $0.06 | |
| 10mo | LukeGamma | Yes / 0.3¢ | -368.34 | $1.11 | |
| 10mo | Parz1vaI | No / 99.7¢ | -587.90 | $586 | |
| 10mo | GenaTheBondKilIer | Yes / 0.2¢ | -219.56 | $0.44 | |
| 10mo | Aminoss00xx00xx77 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +342.87 | $1 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.3¢ | -21.94 | $0.07 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.2¢ | -28.61 | $0.06 | |
| 10mo | LukeGamma | Yes / 0.3¢ | -292.32 | $0.88 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.1¢ | +171.11 | $0.17 | |
| 10mo | oVyg7f | Yes / 0.1¢ | -171.11 | $0.17 | |
| 10mo | RichardTheTurd | Yes / 0.2¢ | -10.00 | $0.02 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.2¢ | -37.48 | $0.07 | |
| 10mo | GenaTheBondKilIer | Yes / 0.2¢ | +219.56 | $0.44 | |
| 10mo | 0x74a292 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -20.00 | $0.04 | |
| 10mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -152.08 | $0.3 | |
| 10mo | LukeGamma | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,309.43 | $1.31 | |
| 10mo | cipherpilot | No / 99.9¢ | +1,322.43 | $1.32K | |
| 10mo | daniel122134 | No / 99.9¢ | -13.00 | $13 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,309.43 | $1.31 | |
| 10mo | scout | Yes / 0.1¢ | -2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 10mo | LukeGamma | Yes / 0.1¢ | +690.57 | $0.69 |
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