
Volume
$40K
Txns
2,376
Traders
166
Fees
$0
Ends
Aug 13, 2025
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) OpenAI's GPT-5 model is made available to the general public. To qualify, GPT-5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5 (e.g. ChatGPT-5o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-4, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 98%$77.5Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 93%$3.13Mvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
No 57%$742Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 87%$1.81Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 100%$62.9Kvolume
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
No 83%$56.9Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -13.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | daniel122134 | No / 99.9¢ | -13.00 | $13 | |
| 10mo | Chriso85 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -574.85 | $0.59 | |
| 10mo | 0x74a292 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.1¢ | +537.88 | $0.54 | |
| 10mo | rocky42005 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +16.97 | $0.03 | |
| 10mo | Jajik | No / 99.8¢ | +12.02 | $12 | |
| 10mo | rocky42005 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +12.02 | $0.02 | |
| 10mo | RichardTheTurd | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.44 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | ratue | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | jishik | No / 99.9¢ | +11.44 | $11.4 | |
| 10mo | rocky42005 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +13.03 | $0.03 | |
| 10mo | ninkoz | No / 99.8¢ | +13.03 | $13 | |
| 10mo | Novus0rdoSeclorum | No / 99.8¢ | +101.00 | $101 | |
| 10mo | rocky42005 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +101.00 | $0.2 | |
| 10mo | rocky42005 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +6.02 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | helon | No / 99.8¢ | +11.02 | $11 | |
| 10mo | ratue | Yes / 0.2¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | mcc420 | Yes / 0.3¢ | -155.55 | $0.47 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.3¢ | +155.55 | $0.47 | |
| 10mo | rocky42005 | Yes / 0.6¢ | -157.46 | $0.94 | |
| 10mo | Dersim | Yes / 0.6¢ | +166.67 | $1 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.6¢ | -9.21 | $0.06 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.4¢ | -20.00 | $0.08 | |
| 10mo | RichardTheTurd | Yes / 0.4¢ | -10.00 | $0.04 |
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