
Volume
$24K
Txns
835
Traders
108
Fees
$0
Ends
Aug 5, 2025
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) OpenAI's GPT-5 model is made available to the general public. To qualify, GPT-5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5 (e.g. ChatGPT-5o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-4, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 98%$77.5Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.13Mvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
No 57%$742Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 87%$1.81Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 100%$62.9Kvolume
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
No 83%$57Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10mo | eigen2 | No / 99.9¢ | +53.93 | $53.9 | |
| 10mo | Costwen | No / 99.9¢ | -53.93 | $53.9 | |
| 10mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +29.81 | $0.03 | |
| 10mo | wokerjoesleeper | No / 99.9¢ | +29.81 | $29.8 | |
| 10mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -8.19 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +8.19 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | strauss | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 10mo | SweetChariot | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 10mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.3¢ | -533.29 | $1.6 | |
| 10mo | trconja | Yes / 0.5¢ | +2,133.13 | $10 | |
| 10mo | haohua | No / 98.8¢ | +67.84 | $67 | |
| 10mo | 0x74a292 | No / 99.6¢ | +100.00 | $99.6 | |
| 10mo | TheWolfOfPoly | No / 99.5¢ | +101.00 | $100 | |
| 10mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.5¢ | -39.00 | $0.2 | |
| 10mo | ACara | Yes / 0.3¢ | -150.00 | $0.45 | |
| 10mo | HolyMoses7 | Yes / 0.3¢ | -632.00 | $1.9 | |
| 10mo | ACara | Yes / 1.1¢ | -164.54 | $1.81 | |
| 10mo | ACara | Yes / 0.4¢ | -210.00 | $0.84 | |
| 10mo | ACara | Yes / 1.1¢ | -104.18 | $1.15 | |
| 10mo | ACara | Yes / 1.1¢ | -31.28 | $0.34 | |
| 10mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -44.50 | $0.04 | |
| 10mo | 0x74a292 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +44.50 | $0.04 | |
| 10mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -6.69 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | 0x74a292 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.69 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.00 | $0.01 |
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