
Volume
$2M
Txns
10,497
Traders
1,303
Fees
$0
Ends
Aug 7, 2025
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) OpenAI's GPT-5 model is made available to the general public. To qualify, GPT-5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5 (e.g. ChatGPT-5o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-4, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Yes 100%$1.21Mvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
Yes 100%$782Kvolume
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Yes 100%$1.24Mvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Yes 100%$808Kvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Yes 100%$812Kvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Yes 100%$351Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10mo | Anjun | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 10mo | ricotheyellow | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 10mo | Anjun | Yes / 99.9¢ | +64,900.00 | $64.8K | |
| 10mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 10mo | F.r.a.n.t.i.s.e.k | No / 0.1¢ | +100,000.00 | $100 | |
| 10mo | Sharky6999 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +30,000.00 | $30K | |
| 10mo | Ordon | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5,000.00 | $5K | |
| 10mo | brunchie | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,312.36 | $1.31K | |
| 10mo | LlamaEnjoyer | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,312.36 | $1.31K | |
| 10mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 10mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 10mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 10mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 10mo | SignalNotNoise | No / 0.1¢ | +20,710.00 | $20.7 | |
| 10mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 10mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 10mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 10mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 10mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 10mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 10mo | Dargdarg | No / 0.1¢ | -685.13 | $0.69 | |
| 10mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 10mo | LlamaEnjoyer | Yes / 99.9¢ | +11,724.87 | $11.7K | |
| 10mo | Dargdarg | No / 0.1¢ | -32.85 | $0.03 | |
| 10mo | bismarckenjoyer | Yes / 99.9¢ | -32.85 | $32.8 |
1–25