
Volume
$62K
Txns
3,114
Traders
261
Fees
$0
Ends
Aug 9, 2025
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) OpenAI's GPT-5 model is made available to the general public. To qualify, GPT-5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5 (e.g. ChatGPT-5o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-4, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Yes 100%$1.23Mvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
Yes 100%$797Kvolume
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Yes 100%$1.24Mvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Yes 100%$811Kvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Yes 100%$815Kvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Yes 100%$352Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10mo | RichardTheTurd | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | Gravity14 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 10mo | Sharky6999 | No / 99.9¢ | +360.46 | $360 | |
| 10mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -186.54 | $0.19 | |
| 10mo | HolyMoses7 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -443.00 | $0.44 | |
| 10mo | kozo0927 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 10mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 10mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 10mo | Magetoro21 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 10mo | daniel122134 | No / 99.9¢ | -13.00 | $13 | |
| 10mo | 2DollarBeggar | No / 99.9¢ | +13.00 | $13 | |
| 10mo | 0x4e25...5cd7a7 | No / 99.9¢ | +18.00 | $18 | |
| 10mo | 0x4e25...5cd7a7 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,108.00 | $1.11K | |
| 10mo | rocky42005 | No / 99.8¢ | -18.00 | $18 | |
| 10mo | 0x74a292 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 10mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +73.00 | $0.07 | |
| 10mo | ratue | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | thecaricature | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3.00 | $0 | |
| 10mo | thecaricature | Yes / 0.1¢ | +497.00 | $0.5 | |
| 10mo | RichardTheTurd | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | cigarettes | No / 99.8¢ | +150.00 | $150 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.2¢ | +150.00 | $0.3 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.2¢ | +49.72 | $0.1 | |
| 10mo | cigarettes | No / 99.8¢ | +49.72 | $49.6 |
1–25