Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 22 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

The ruling coalition of the Netherlands collapsed on June 3, 2025. New parliamentary elections are expected to be scheduled soon. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by GroenLinks–PvdA in the House of Representatives as a result of this election. If voting in the Netherlands election for the House does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by GroenLinks–PvdA. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Electoral Council (Kiesraad) (https://www.kiesraad.nl/).