
Volume
$81K
Txns
2,684
Traders
608
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Grok has a native macOS desktop application publicly available for download in the U.S by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The application must be officially released by xAI (or Elon Musk via official xAI/Grok communication channels). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 100%$189Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.21Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Yes 100%$117Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?
No 100%$74.9Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 100%$120Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 89%$1.85Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | Owwwnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +34.15 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | Nexuus | Yes / 0.1¢ | +36.01 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Kanp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +46.02 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Yukaii | Yes / 0.1¢ | +45.85 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Ignisss | Yes / 0.1¢ | +35.53 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Oddinn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +44.48 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | pootytherewardfarmer | No / 99.9¢ | -64.00 | $63.9 | |
| 5mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +47.72 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Rlso | Yes / 0.1¢ | +39.64 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | wenying2025 | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 5mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +69.00 | $0.07 | |
| 5mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +105.00 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | Snpe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +57.16 | $0.06 | |
| 5mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +47.69 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Shipoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +31.44 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | Pestle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +21.49 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | +777.65 | $777 | |
| 5mo | Blaorra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +47.47 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | wenying2025 | No / 99.7¢ | +5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 5mo | flywheelpoly | No / 99.7¢ | -5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 5mo | youareaidiot | No / 99.9¢ | +20.02 | $20 | |
| 5mo | Pestle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.02 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | vinii | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | Pestle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 5mo | Pestle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15.80 | $0.02 |
1–25