
Volume
$600K
Txns
9,258
Traders
1,474
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran officially announces a successor to Ali Khamenei as Supreme Leader by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of if/when the announced replacement actually becomes the next Supreme Leader, or otherwise assumes the highest government position of Iran. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 84%$30.1Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 99%$5.99Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 58%$27.3Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 83%$20.9Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$5.98Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
No 53%$8.21Mvolume
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