
Volume
$2M
Txns
25,970
Traders
2,736
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran officially announces a successor to Ali Khamenei as Supreme Leader by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of if/when the announced replacement actually becomes the next Supreme Leader, or otherwise assumes the highest government position of Iran. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 77%$31.7Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$6.24Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 56%$27.9Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 79%$21.1Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 98%$66Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$6.09Mvolume
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