
Volume
$112K
Txns
2,733
Traders
658
Fees
$4
Liquidity
$15,276
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT. The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 81%$27.2Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
No 95%$1.77Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
No 98%$2.89Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
No 99%$25Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 59%$10.6Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
No 86%$2.04Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24m | 0xa440...9d6e45 | No / 86.2¢ | -6.00 | $5.17 | |
| 24m | ffrgtuy | No / 86.2¢ | +6.00 | $5.17 | |
| 39m | 0x8a99...cda5d0 | No / 84.7¢ | -3.87 | $3.28 | |
| 39m | Haradwaith | No / 84.7¢ | +3.87 | $3.28 | |
| 1h | 0xc716...fa92fa | No / 87.6¢ | +5.00 | $4.38 | |
| 1h | 0xde37...e4e90f | No / 87.6¢ | -5.00 | $4.38 | |
| 3h | 0xd5ae...b461b4 | No / 86.9¢ | +5.00 | $4.34 | |
| 3h | 0x592b...030a49 | No / 86.9¢ | -5.00 | $4.34 | |
| 4h | 0x878f...e35593 | No / 86.9¢ | -6.00 | $5.21 | |
| 4h | 0x17cc...cb0287 | No / 86.9¢ | +6.00 | $5.21 | |
| 5h | 0x9321...21ab02 | No / 86.5¢ | -7.00 | $6.05 | |
| 5h | 0x3e58...ba448e | No / 86.5¢ | +7.00 | $6.05 | |
| 5h | 0x9321...21ab02 | Yes / 13.4¢ | -8.00 | $1.07 | |
| 5h | 0x3e58...ba448e | Yes / 13.4¢ | +8.00 | $1.07 | |
| 7h | 0x6d33...a982ad | No / 86.1¢ | +8.00 | $6.89 | |
| 7h | 0xe4bc...55d2c8 | No / 86.1¢ | -8.00 | $6.89 | |
| 7h | 0xe4bc...55d2c8 | Yes / 13.9¢ | -8.00 | $1.11 | |
| 7h | 0x6d33...a982ad | Yes / 13.9¢ | +8.00 | $1.11 | |
| 8h | 0x0618...556edf | Yes / 13.9¢ | -8.00 | $1.11 | |
| 8h | 0x0c64...3014a5 | Yes / 13.9¢ | +8.00 | $1.11 | |
| 8h | 0xb5b7...0ac33d | No / 86.1¢ | -8.00 | $6.89 | |
| 8h | 0xe966...e446bb | No / 86.1¢ | +8.00 | $6.89 | |
| 8h | 0x28a3...54f9e7 | No / 86.1¢ | -6.00 | $5.17 | |
| 8h | 0x1291...089f6d | No / 86.1¢ | +6.00 | $5.17 | |
| 8h | 0x28a3...54f9e7 | Yes / 13.9¢ | -15.00 | $2.08 |
1–25