
Volume
$67K
Txns
878
Traders
240
Fees
$0
Ends
Aug 9, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon between August 1, 2024 and August 9, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by Lebanon, Israel, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | keln | No / 99.9¢ | -16.72 | $16.7 | |
| 1y | professorx | Yes / 0.1¢ | -16.72 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | ping0125 | No / 99.6¢ | +11.57 | $11.5 | |
| 1y | kirilin | No / 99.6¢ | -11.57 | $11.5 | |
| 1y | professorx | Yes / 0.1¢ | +43.93 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | potatojuice | No / 99.9¢ | +43.93 | $43.9 | |
| 1y | bc1pbc1q | No / 99.9¢ | +75.07 | $75 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +19.01 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | professorx | Yes / 0.1¢ | +56.06 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | appleiphone16 | No / 99.9¢ | +70.12 | $70 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +70.12 | $0.07 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | Yes / 0.1¢ | +0.87 | $0 | |
| 1y | magazineeth | No / 99.9¢ | +11.74 | $11.7 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.87 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | Yes / 0.1¢ | +221.13 | $0.22 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3,903.87 | $3.9 | |
| 1y | Hhkcg | No / 99.9¢ | +5,125.00 | $5.12K | |
| 1y | nobodyfastnobodyslow | Yes / 0.1¢ | -125.13 | $0.13 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +125.13 | $0.13 | |
| 1y | BiggieChungus | Yes / 0.1¢ | -65.00 | $0.07 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +65.00 | $0.07 | |
| 1y | Alanwatts | Yes / 0.1¢ | -3,406.00 | $3.41 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3,406.00 | $3.41 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | No / 99.5¢ | +22.98 | $22.9 |
1–25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
No 100%$6.73Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Yes 97%$5.87Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 82%$34.1Mvolume
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Yes 100%$2.76Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
No 99%$27.3Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
No 93%$1.29Mvolume