
Volume
$4K
Txns
120
Traders
45
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 30, 2026
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployment rate for both sexes, displayed as a percent) reported in the Japan Labour Force Survey for December 2025. The resolution source for this market is e-Stat, the portal site of Official Statistics of Japan. The monthly unemployment rate reported in the Labour Force Survey is published each month in the table titled “Labour Force participation rate, employment rate and unemployment rate” at https://www.e-stat.go.jp/en/dbview?sid=0003005865. The relevant figure may be found with ‘Rate [%]’, ‘All industries’, ‘Unemployed person’, and ‘All Japan’ selected, in the column for Both sexes and the row for the relevant month. The next data release is scheduled for January 30, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 100%$22.8Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 100%$7.97Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$11.7Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 75%$21.5Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Yes 55%$5.01Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.92Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | 9382637 | No / 99.9¢ | -2.00 | $2 | |
| 4mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | No / 99.9¢ | +2.00 | $2 | |
| 4mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.7¢ | -10.00 | $0.07 | |
| 4mo | Scottcfj6 | No / 99.3¢ | -10.00 | $9.93 | |
| 4mo | Ellende5 | No / 99.3¢ | -10.00 | $9.93 | |
| 4mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.7¢ | -10.00 | $0.07 | |
| 4mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.7¢ | -10.00 | $0.07 | |
| 4mo | Brendaza3 | No / 99.3¢ | -10.00 | $9.93 | |
| 4mo | Elainebv5 | No / 99.3¢ | -10.00 | $9.93 | |
| 4mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.7¢ | -10.00 | $0.07 | |
| 4mo | Lucassd55 | No / 99.3¢ | -10.00 | $9.93 | |
| 4mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.7¢ | -10.00 | $0.07 | |
| 4mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.8¢ | -1.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | Roses4 | No / 99.2¢ | -1.00 | $0.99 | |
| 4mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.8¢ | -10.00 | $0.08 | |
| 4mo | Mirahc5 | No / 99.2¢ | -10.00 | $9.92 | |
| 4mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.8¢ | -10.00 | $0.08 | |
| 4mo | Maxdf5 | No / 99.2¢ | -10.00 | $9.92 | |
| 4mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 4mo | LBZone | No / 99.9¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 4mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +142.00 | $0.14 | |
| 4mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +400.00 | $0.4 | |
| 4mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +101.00 | $0.1 | |
| 4mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +309.00 | $0.31 | |
| 4mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +8.00 | $0.01 |
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