Will João Ferreira be elected Mayor of Lisbon?

The 2025 Lisbon local election will be held on October 12, 2025. Each party or group puts forward a list of candidates, and the list with the most votes makes its top candidate the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who is elected mayor. If the result of this election isn't known by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Lisbon.